Game theory

An article in the Guardian by Aditya Chakrabortty discusses a professor who seemingly predicts word events using a laptop and maths.

"Let's start with some news from the near future. Iran won't build a nuclear bomb. With extra aid money, Pakistan will become more peaceful. And the Copenhagen summit on climate change this December is doomed to failure.
If Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is right, those are the headlines you'll be reading over the next few months. The author of a new book called Predictioneer, he makes big-picture forecasts employing maths, and a laptop that has been so heavily used its letters have worn away."
Bueno de Mesquita's hit rate is 90%.
"...His specialism is game theory, a branch of maths that studies how people negotiate with each other. To arrive at that prediction on Iran's atomic bomb Bueno de Mesquita has crunched four sets of data: who the key decision-makers are in Iran, America and elsewhere; what they say they want; how important the issue is to them, and how much clout they have. His model has then worked out how these players will interact with each other – like so many chemical elements."
Only time will tell if his predictions are correct. I didn't read the book but I am curious what are his predictions for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2009/oct/13/brain-food-aditya-chakrabortty

Robert Aumann , an Israeli/American mathematician, won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2005 for his applications of game-theory analysis. In an article entitled Game Theory in the Talmud, Professor Aumann explains Talmudic passages according to the principles of game theory.